NHC继续作死

06E FAUSTO 140707 2200 9.8N 120.2W EPAC 35 1005 又出现了奇怪的东西

CCC

进中太的节奏

TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062014
800 PM PDT MON JUL 07 2014
The convective cloud pattern associated with Tropical Storm Fausto
has continued to improve with numerous small curved bands having
developed in the northern semicircle, while a large curved band has
persisted in the southern semicircle. The upper-level outflow is
good to excellent, and it has continued to expand and become more
symmetrical. The initial intensity has been increased to 40 kt
based on the improved cloud pattern, a 1757 UTC ASCAT-B overpass
that showed a peak surface wind of 38 kt in the southeastern
quadrant, and also the most recent UW-CIMSS ADT satellite intensity
estimates of T2.8/41 kt.
Fausto is expected to remain in a favorable environment of wind
shear less than 10 kt, mid-level moisture greater than 70 percent,
and sea-surface temperatures in excess of 28C for the next 48 hours
or so, which should result in at least gradual strengthening. The
HWRF model makes Fausto a hurricane in about 48 hours, which isn't
entirely out of the question if convection can wrap around the north
side of the low-level center, resulting in a stronger and better
developed vortex column. For now, however, the official intensity
forecast remains similar to the previous advisory and closely
follows the intensity consensus model IVCN due to modest mid-level
shear undercutting the favorable upper-level outflow pattern, which
is expected to inhibit development somewhat.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 08/0300Z 9.6N 120.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 08/1200Z 9.9N 122.2W 45 KT 50 MPH
24H 09/0000Z 10.5N 124.6W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 09/1200Z 11.2N 127.2W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 10/0000Z 12.1N 129.8W 55 KT 65 MPH
72H 11/0000Z 13.8N 135.0W 55 KT 65 MPH
96H 12/0000Z 15.5N 139.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
120H 13/0000Z 16.8N 143.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
现在40kts 坐拥良好环境，未来成为飓风也不是不可能

跨洋还开么？

CHC终于可以找些事做了啊

进击夏威夷

未来要进中太

“福斯托”继续向偏西方向移动
东太平洋热带风暴“福斯托”（FAUSTO）的中心今天下午5点钟位于墨西哥南下加利福尼亚州（BAJA CALIFORNIA）的圣卢卡斯（SAN LUCAS）西南方约1980公里的洋面上，就是北纬9.5度、西经122.2度，中心附近最大风力有9级（21米/秒），中心最低气压为1005百帕。
预计，“福斯托”将以每小时20公里左右的速度继续向偏西方向移动，强度逐渐加强。

参考去年某飓风

葩!葩!葩!NHC真是越来越神奇了!话说这货要袭击JTWC和CPHC老家吗？

大家真是美军的网站用习惯了
2:00 AM PDT Tue Jul 8
Location: 9.5°N 122.2°W
Moving: W at 14 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph